eh? I know Suze Orman is already a target for laughs, portrayed on Saturday Night Live by Kristin Wiig. So I'll try not to get petty here.
There are a few well known "pundits", or even actual financial services practicioners, who have taken opposition to some of Suze's advice. Particularly her hardcore blanketed advice to pay down all debt as a top priority. Critics say, sometimes it's just not that black and white.
In this video, Suze makes a key shift in favor of liquidity for safety purposes as a priority over eliminating credit card debt. It's interesting to note however, that this advice comes too late in the game for many to react. I think it really highlights the key issue some have with her advice - we need to be financially prepared for the unknowns in life before they hit us. It doesn't really help to start preparing for disaster after it strikes.
Her former advice to pay down credit card debt is basically a math lesson gift wrapped as financial planning advice. Too many of the variables in her equation are held constant, when true financial planning takes a subjective, individualized look at all variables in a particular scenario. Same goes for the new advice - that may be the right idea for some, but don't mistake what is going on here. Her extreme point of view, and universal conviction are what make her interesting enough to put on TV. That's not what makes individual advice pertinent or valuable.
For kicks, here's the SNL version.
Thursday, July 02, 2009
Did She Just Say "Pundint"?
Posted by
john
at
9:45 AM
Labels: Filtering News From The Media, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, San Francisco Bay Area
Thursday, March 12, 2009
ARRA 2009 - Important Details, Effective Date
ARRA Brings New Opportunity To Refinance or Modify
There has been an overwhelming amount of noise and confusion since the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) was announced a few weeks ago. As a follow up to my message from 2/24, below is an summary of the recently released details, some resources to help you figure out if this will benefit you, and some instructions on what steps you should take next. If you think this information is useful, please pass it along. Feel free to forward this email to anyone you know that may be impacted.
The Making Home Affordable government program is divided into two parts:
· Modification Program
· Refinance Program
Despite all the fanfare surrounding this program, it remains 100% VOLUNTARY, and mortgage servicers (the companies that actually collect borrowers’ mortgage payments) are not obligated by law to follow these rules and guidelines...yet. Oddly enough, even if a financial institution has already received assistance with government funding, they are NOT obligated to participate. However, if a financial institution receives new or more government funding in the future, they WILL be obligated to participate.
In other words, the rules are still a bit unclear and nobody really knows who will participate and how it will all work from a practical perspective. Most of what you read and hear about in the media will most likely be speculation at this point. In a nutshell, the program has three elements:
· The government is offering financial incentives to mortgage servicers who modify loans for borrowers.
· The government is offering financial reimbursement to investors if they allow servicers to modify loans and then take a hit on the borrower’s re-default if the property declines in value after the loan modification
· The government is offering financial incentives to borrowers who modify their loans and make their new payments on time
Vacation homes and investment properties don’t qualify for the program. Only borrowers who have experienced some type of financial hardship can qualify. Click on this link if you want to see if you qualify for at least the minimum requirements.
Remember, even if you do qualify under these minimum requirements, your servicer (the company where you send your payments) might not be participating in the program just yet.
Part 2 - Refinance Program
Here’s how it works:
· You need to be current on your mortgage payments (no late payments in the last 12 months)
· Your mortgage balance cannot exceed 105% of the current value of your home
· Your mortgage needs to be owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
o This may include Alt-A or even sub-prime mortgages
Based on current market conditions, this might make sense for you if:
· You have an adjustable rate, interest only, or balloon mortgage that you want to convert into a fixed rate; or,
· You have a fixed rate mortgage where the interest rate is greater than 5.500%.
Important Dates
· This program becomes effective on APRIL 4. Prior to that date, you can, and should begin the process of gathering required documentation. Please contact me to get this process started.
To find out if your mortgage is owned/guaranteed by Fannie Mae, click here.
To find out if your mortgage is owned/guaranteed by Freddie Mac, click here.
Other Recent Developments
There have been many other recent developments in the markets, as well as new government legislation. Here are just a few recent items that may impact you or someone you know:
· Home improvement tax credit
· First-time home buyer tax credit (Federal)
· New construction home purchase tax credit ( California primary residences)
· Reverse mortgages for home purchase transactions (age 62 or older)
· Suspension of required minimum distributions for certain retirement accounts (age 70 ½ or older)
Let me know if you’d like to discuss any of these items in further detail by sending a quick email.
Posted by
john
at
3:11 PM
Labels: Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Join the Savings Craze! The Paradox of the Paradox of Thrift
Experiencing a recession is great way to force a reassessment of your financial behavior. The Great Depression is famous for shaping a generation of frugal citizens/consumers. Do you feel like you have not been saving enough money? America Saves Week dot Org has a 12 step program for you. Join the craze!
But wait, popular economic theory of the day warns of 'the Paradox of Thrift'. What may be good for the individual is not good for the collective. Waxing economical takes place here, here, and here. Is there a moral dilemma here? Is this why we've been trained to act as consumers, rather than citizens?
Paul Kasriel has another angle. Debunking the Paradox with some tough love for WSJ contributer Daniel Henninger.
Posted by
john
at
1:56 PM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Friday, February 06, 2009
UPDATE: Proposed Changes to Tax Credit, Conforming Limits
Republican amendments to the current stimulus package up for vote later today include:
-Restoring the $729,750 loan limits in some areas
-Temporarily offer homebuyers a tax credit worth $15,000 or 10% of a home’s purchase price, whichever is less, with the option to utilize all in one year or spread out over two years. The credit does not have to be paid back. It would be available to all purchases of any home from date of enactment for one full year - no longer just a first time homebuyer credit, and borrowers would be able to claim the credit against the 2008 tax return.
-Other details:
- buyers must occupy the home for two years as their principle residence
- includes a two year recapture provision (if they leave the home in two years they lost the credit)
- purchases of homes by investors are ineligible
The bill is still working its way through Congress, and the House of Representatives must still negotiate with the Senate since the House bill does not contain the credit.
Posted by
john
at
10:54 AM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, San Francisco Bay Area, Taxation
Proposed Changes to Homebuyer Tax Credit, Conforming Limits
Rumors are going around about the following ideas, supposedly on the table for legislative discussion:
First Time Buyer Tax Credit Change:
Currently, the credit is up to $7500 for qualified first time buyers, and the funds are expected to be repaid at the rate of $500 per year for the ensuing 15 years.
Proposed changes are for increasing the credit to $14,000, and also to make it forgivable. In other words, no requirement to be repaid. Ever.
That is a significant change, and would represent a MAJOR incentive to enter the market.
Conforming Loan Limits:
Currently, the limit is 417k nationally, and in some high cost areas, it can be as high as 625,500. All 9 Bay Area counties are currently at 625,500. During 2008, the ceiling was higher – 729,750, but the “temporary” classification caused the lenders, who still operate in a free market world, to have almost zero interest. It didn’t really work. The 625,500 level was more conservative, but permanent. It has helped, but not quite as well as intended.
Proposed changes would reinstate the ceiling at 729,750 for qualified California property, or, according to one source, raise the ceiling to ~$932,000 for qualified California property.
Also potentially significant change, unlocking many borrowers with high outstanding loan balances on expensive property. No way of knowing if lenders will have an appetite for these deals or not, but it’s something to keep an eye on…
Posted by
john
at
10:50 AM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, San Francisco Bay Area, Taxation
Thursday, February 05, 2009
What If You Could Set Your Own Tax Assessment Value?
Here in California, Prop 13 puts limits on periodic tax assessments, but in many other states the values change up and down with the county assessor's opinion of the value of the property. There is an inherent conflict here where the county wants maximum tax revenue, and homeowners don't want to have to deal with a bureaucratic protest every year when their tax bill feels like an insult.
Paul Kasriel recalls a concept for a solution to this conflict, as discussed by a former Fed official, and how it might relate to current challenges we are facing with "fixing" the economy. Specifically, he is looking at the "bad bank" concept currently being mulled over, and how current banks and the bad bank would theoretically agree on a value for the "bad assets".
But backing up a step, I found the basis for the analogy more interesting. The self-assessment theory works as follows:
- Let the owner of the real estate place the value on his property.
- The taxing authority has the right to purchase the property at the owner-decided value.
It's a very thought-provoking piece. 2 pages of your time...
Posted by
john
at
12:48 PM
Labels: Economics, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, Taxation
Thursday, January 15, 2009
There's no inflation in our economy - unless you wholesale money
What happened to inflation? 5$ gas, 6$ milk, 7$ Pabst Blue Ribbon!!! ???
Today's PPI (Producer Price Index) came in at a negative for the 5th straight month. It measures commodity prices, and other materials that producers of goods and services need to buy in order to produce their good or service. Tomorrow's CPI (Consumer Price Index - which measures the cost of goods that consumers buy) is expected to indicate the same signal - no inflation to speak of.
Meanwhile, much is being said about the efforts by the government to push down mortgage rates. But the underlying fundamentals that determine interest rates are not correlating with the rates being offered to consumers,. Or they are correlating less than is usual, presenting challenges to consumers and brokers trying to execute on their behalf.
Yes, rates are quite a bit lower. But the challenges of our "new landscape" are also new in nature, and no matter where you turn, it just gets more and more interesting. After 6 quarters of downsizing, banks were slammed in recent weeks with record applications for new loans. There was an immediate logjam. Demand is exceeding capacity. Banks do not need to lower costs to attract business. Margins are fat, 'because they can'.
Icing on the cake: Banks offer lower rates to deals on shorter term locks. But it takes twice as long for them to underwrite files today, so what's the point? You have to lock long-term, which means higher rates. Or, you float. And if you float, you get jumped in line at underwriting by all the locked-in deals. These same banks offer 7 day locks at their absolutely lowest rates... but you can never get within 7 days of closing UNLESS YOU LOCK!
If you do lock, and the period does not wind up being adequate, for ANY reason whatsoever, you can pay to extend it. But banks are doubling and tripling their extension fees as their queue grows longer and longer. Oh, and they are charging some brokers additional fees for not delivering on a loan once it is locked - even if they are too busy to underwrite it!
So lets review:
-banks have been taking it on the chin for ~6 quarters, so...
-rates are down, but not as much as they should be given the government intervention, and economic datapoints
-extension fees are skyrocketing
-processing times are skyrocketing
-lock periods are skyrocketing
-penalty for cancelling is skyrocketing
As far as I know, mortgage rate lock extension fees are not included in the PPI or CPI. Yet another area of the economy overlooked by the economic reporting data. Outrageous! Somebody call David Horowitz!
Posted by
john
at
4:35 PM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Great perspective to a timely question
Ric Edelman fields a question from one of his radio show listeners:
Q: Do you and your wife make extra principal payments to your
interest-only loan? Or do you not want to own your home someday?
Many in the investment business suggest investing it in the stock market
- you don't keep up with inflation by putting the money into your home
or keeping the money in cash. Well, over the past decade or so, with all
of the ups and downs of the stock market, I bet the folks who kept their
money in cash or paid down their mortgages fared better than those in
the stock market. I know, I know, the market goes up and down, and over
the "long term" the stock market is supposed to outperform the other
things, but I question this advice sometimes and just wonder if you are
going to own your home someday? If not, why?
Ric: No, we don't make extra payments. We personally handle our money
the same way we advise our clients and consumers.
Why would we want to add extra money to our payment? If you believe that
real estate values rise over long periods, the home's equity will grow
all by itself, and it will do so at such a rate that any extra payments
we'd make would be pointless.
Here's an example: Say you own a $500,000 house with a $400,000
mortgage. You thus have only $100,000 in equity. If you send in an extra
$100 per month for five years, you'll have an extra $6,000 in equity.
But if the house grows just 1% per year, it will produce $25,505 in new
equity, or four times more than your effort from making extra payments!
And if the house grows 2% per year, your new equity will be more than
$50,000!
This is one reason - there are nine others in my DVD on the topic - why
making extra payments is a waste of time and effort.
Of course, I began by asking if you believe that real estate values will
rise over long periods. If you don't believe that, then you shouldn't be
a real estate owner in the first place. You should rent instead.
Also, I note that you referred to those who recommend placing into the
stock market all the money that you'd otherwise use to make extra
payments. I do not agree with that advice. Instead, you should invest
the money in a highly diversified manner. That's because, as you've
noted, it's possible to see stock prices falter for extended periods. By
owning a wide variety of assets, and not just stocks, you reduce the
risk of such underperformance.
But even if you invest solely in stocks, you're highly likely to do
fine. Remember that we're comparing the interest rate on your mortgage
to the performance of the stock market. Since your mortgage will last
for 30 years, we need to evaluate stock prices over that same period.
And in every 30-year period since 1926, according to Ibbotson
Associates, stocks have handily outperformed mortgage rates.
I realize that you're questioning the strategy because of the stock
market's recent performance, but it's precisely at such times that we
need to remind ourselves of the long-term nature of the markets.
Otherwise, you'll be tempted to do the wrong thing at the wrong time for
the wrong reason.
Find out more about Home Ownership here:
http://www.ricedelman.com/cs/
Posted by
john
at
5:10 PM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Mortgage Planning, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Interesting Commentary From JP Morgan Chase
A colleague forwarded this to me, so I don't have the direct link.
"In recent months, Wall Street has seen an extreme liquidity drought with steady redemptions from hedge funds and long-term mutual funds. However, this doesn't mean that investors have no money to put to work. In fact, in November, M2 (the total value of money held in cash, checking accounts, savings accounts, CDs under $100,000 and retail money market accounts) exceeded $7.9 trillionfor the first time, up 7.4% over the past year. Interestingly, holdings in these short-term accounts now exceed the total capitalized value of the S&P 500. The problem is not the ability of investors to invest, but rather their willingness to do so."
Don't want to miss the bounce, do you? Good time to be checking in with your financial planner. Please email me if you need a referral.
Posted by
john
at
11:04 AM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Monday, December 08, 2008
How to get a Cheap Vacation to Antigua

Elite Island Vacations has thrown out an interesting twist on the stock market uncertainty - a bet that your financial stock shares are likely well below their fair value. They are willing to take your shares at July 1 2008 value in exchange for travel services - with some restrictions I am sure.
Example: GOOG shares closed at $302 today. On July 1, they were worth $534. If you have shares of Google, and want to go to Antigua, you can pay with your shares, and get $534 of travel for every single share - that you would only be able to get $302 on the open market for.
Why do this? Elite Island Vacations clearly believes that the shares are worth more than their current trading value. That and the fact that they are very clever marketers. It's no different than offering a sale on their service, but this is bound to get a lot of attention. I'd certainly never heard of them before.
Posted by
john
at
3:48 PM
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Is the 'Bailout' Working?
Some evidence of the US Government's activity affecting our markets in positive ways:
Yesterday, a statement from FHFA Director James B. Lockhart:
“The Federal Reserve Board’s announcement that it will purchase debt of the Federal Home Loan Banks, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as well as the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae is a very positive step. This $600 billion program should be a major boost to the mortgage and housing markets. By providing more liquidity to the market FHFA expects these actions to help reduce the large interest rate spreads between mortgages and Treasuries, resulting in lower mortgage rates over time, assisting homeowners and home purchasers.”
And then, a press release:
FHFA URGES SERVICERS TO TAKE PROMPT ACTION ON LOAN MODIFICATIONS
And then, the announcement of a new report: "Monthly Foreclosure Prevention Report" which promises to detail the efforts to slow down the flood of foreclosure activity.
STRONG moves are being made to stop foreclosures from happening in such large quantities, as the downward spiraling momentum they bring is causing rot within our nation's housing stock. Property inventory declined this month for the first time in months, quarters, over a year? Let's hope it is the beginning of a trend... There was a 39% decrease in foreclosures in California, month over month, largely due to the cancellations and the moratorium imposed by the government, which is being followed by most major lenders and loan servicers.
Decreasing inventory causes a shift in supply/demand equilibrium. Are we nearing a bottom? Is it time to be thinking about investing in real estate?
Posted by
john
at
3:43 PM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Monday, November 17, 2008
401(k) Seizure? Time for a Dose of Reality
Another vein of panic running through the foundation of the economic and financial stability - whatever amount of it is left - is a concern over an impending seizure by the government of 401(k) balances to be used for some nationalized program used for bailout funds. The Wall Street Journal ran an editorial on Friday, allowing this widespread concern to proliferate.
You can disregard any fear over this - it ain't gonna happen.
According to George Miller (D-CA), who is chairman of house Committee on Education and Labor, this is nowhere near the intention or goal of Miller, or anybody else in congress.
Miller's hearings on 401(k) legislation have the following objectives:
1. Expose excess fees that Wall St middlemen take from workers accounts
2. Bring young and low wage workers into the system
3. Ensure that retirement accounts have diversified investment options with low fees
4. Ensure workers have access to reliable independent investment advice
5. Reduce vesting periods and portability of 401(k) accounts
Congressman Earl Pomeroy (D-FL), member of the House Ways and Means Committee, says he is against anything of the sort, and suggests that this concept was born out of political gaming, pushed by conservatives as a threat of what a Democratic leadership landscape might bring.
Speaker of the house, Nancy Pelosi, says "we would never even consider a proposal to seize retirement assets." in a statement issued to Ric Edelman, financial planner, when asked specifically about this topic.
One of the voices pushing this concept, Teresa Ghilarducci of New York's New School for Social Research, who is referenced in the Wall Street Journal piece, even claims in an interview with Edelman that her comments were taken way out of context. However sour on the concept of 401(k)s, she admits she was never suggesting that the government take the funds under control.
If you want more information about participating in 401(k) plans, please contact your plan administrator at work, or your financial planner. If you would like a referral to a financial planner, please contact me.
Posted by
john
at
8:50 AM
Labels: Filtering News From The Media, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Indymac Failure Raises Important FDIC Questions
For years, FDIC coverage has been a fairly irrelevant concern in the personal finance area. But with the recent collapse of Indymac Bank, and with so many financial institutions teetering in this environment, it's a good time to get familiar with the risk of having large deposits with banks, and with how FDIC insurance works.
A history of the FDIC can be viewed here, and their main site is here. For up to $100,000 per depositor, checking and savings deposits are insured against institutional failure by the federal government. There are some particular nuances to this however, when you have multiple deposits with different institutions, or deposits in different types of accounts or with different joint ownership, etc.
A new tool published on the FDIC site will help you tally up your savings to find out what your protection is exactly.
With increased down payment requirements for mortgage financing these days, we are seeing more and more consumers with greater than $100k in savings. Even if it is a temporary position as you prepare to make your down payment, you don't want to get caught over-exposed with the wrong custodian.
And if you are someone who sits on this much cash for longer than short-term, you may want to run your strategy by a financial planner, especially in light of our current inflation.
Posted by
john
at
2:21 PM
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Interesting Perspective On Federal Economic Stimulus Package From Hoisington Investment Management (Watch Out For Deflation! ...yes, "DEFLATION")
From a recent article presented by John Mauldin in his "Outside the Box" weekly, Van Hoisington and Dr. Lacy Hunt write:
"Fiscal Policy would seem to be undisputedly supportive for the economy with Treasury's $110 billion in rebate checks and a Federal budget deficit that is approaching a record $500 billion. But that is not the case. The Treasury does not $500 billion in its checking account to cover the deficit, nor even the lesser amount for the rebates. The Treasury has to raise these funds by selling debt securities to the private sector. Credit availability may be thought of as a pie. When the Federal sector, which is the economy's premier borrower, takes more of that pie, fewer dollars are left for the private sector. Thus, deficit financing crowds out funds that would have gone to private uses. With the exception of the Federal funds rate, in the first half of this year, virtually all money and bond yields rose, a clear sign that the deficit usurped funds for the private sector. This has had the impact of slowing, rather than stimulating economic growth."
This makes for an interesting debate. Is it all politics? Does the government really lack the economic understanding to do what's best for us at this point, even if misjudgements that got us here were made in the past? Or is this perspective simply inaccurate? What portion of those rebate checks work back into the economy, stabilize personal finances, or help somebody avoid a foreclosure, etc?
Posted by
john
at
10:54 AM
Labels: Economics, Filtering News From The Media, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Down Payment Assistance Programs - Keeping An Eye On Legislation

Lots of sparks flying right now, with popular down payment assistance programs (DAP) to first-time home buyers under scrutiny, and a mortgage industry fearful of losing another business niche. This recent story brought quiet a bit of chatter into the markets.
The FHA, who lost $4.6 billion last year, may be losing their ability to accept down payment assistance money. Nearly 79,000 people last year took advantage of them, where nonprofit groups provide buyers with money for down payments and home sellers then reimburse the organizations and pay an administrative fee. The FHA said seller-funded down payments present the single biggest challenge to its solvency. Borrowers who take part in these arrangements go to foreclosure at nearly three times the rate of borrowers who put their own money down, according to the agency. The Senate version of the housing bill would have banned the programs but the House version would not. At this point a compromise bill has backed the Senate's version on this, which also is supported by the Bush administration.
Posted by
john
at
7:01 AM
Labels: Filtering News From The Media, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Friday, July 11, 2008
Credit Score Tips (5 Common Mistakes To Avoid) From Edward Jamison
With mortgage lenders raising their minimum FICO score requirements lately, it is as good a time as ever to get in touch with your credit profile. A high percentage of credit reports we look at contain errors and inaccuracies that our clients were unaware of - and if we are working on a purchase contract, or taking advantage of a briefly open window of opportunity to refinance, its often too late to do anything about it by the time we see the score.
Edward Jamison is an attorney who provides credit score repair advice. I am not endorsing his product, but he has a significant presence in the mortgage industry as a go-to for clients in need of credit clean-up. He'll tell you that much of what he does is stuff a consumer can do on their own, as long as they know how credit scoring works.
Credit scoring models are not 100% transparent, but there are many sources out there who claim to know how to tweak here and there. The problem I see is that much of the advice conflicts with one another, sometimes in significant ways. Jamison seems about as credible as any in providing advice, so I figured this brief article was worth a read at least. Look it over and see if you have made any of these mistakes. And if you need further help, contact me and we can go through your report together.
Posted by
john
at
8:47 AM
Friday, May 16, 2008
Another Reason To Pay As Little As Possible Into Your Home Equity

Reason: Corrupt Insurance Companies.
File under: SAFETY.
Staying liquid is safer. Might it cost you a few more dollars? Sure, but its safer. What's that worth to you? Nothing brings that point home like images of houses in flames, homeowners in tears, and more houses in flames.
Watch all three installments of this video, an effort by PBS and Bloomberg.
I can't really weigh on where the bias is in this, but I am sure there is some. The media loves to portray big business (insurance companies) as evil, and looking to choose dollars over people all day long. But how well do you know about your homeowners policy? Do you know anybody who lost their home in the Oakland Hills Fire? How about the 2003/2004/2005/2006/2007 fires in San Diego/Los Angeles/Orange/San Bernadino/Santa Barbara/Ventura County?
What I can do, is point out to you that it is important to review and understand your policy. It's important to work with an insurance provider who is reputable and reliable. If you need a referral to one, please email me.
And I can also teach you some highly effective mortgage strategies that help you take control of your financial profile, build liquidity and safety, and rest easy at night.
Nobody expects disaster to happen to them. But if it does, and you have a fight on your hands with the insurance company, it can take YEARS to settle, or be indemnified. Regardless of the outcome, where are you going to live while the fight goes on - and how are you going to pay for it when the insurance company is denying your claim?
Here's another example: Senator Trent Lott has been down this road related to Hurricane Katrina devastation to a home he owned free and clear.
Posted by
john
at
3:29 PM
Labels: Filtering News From The Media, Mortgage Planning, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, San Francisco Bay Area
Thursday, May 01, 2008
What Happens When Savings Is Already Negative, And Then Credit Shrivels Up?

You cut spending, or cash in assets. Or you steal.
I have to give credit to Paul Kasriel, who has been beating this drum for months - or years. He has done several walk-through essays, loaded with charts and visuals, which basically show the following:
We spend more than we earn. (negative savings rate - or very close to it, depending on when you look).
This is possible because we have been liquidating our home's equity via Lines of Credit (HELOC).
Now that home values are falling, we are losing the equity before we can spend it.
Furthermore, banks are less likely to allow access to equity, even if it is there.
Bottom line: we have to cut back, sell other assets, or steal to keep things going. So if we have not yet cut spending, we are still living off of increased borrowing, or we are liquidating other savings. None of these are good trends for the long-term. This is why our economy is due for a slowdown, recession, etc. We've been on an unsustainable path. Check out some of his recent write-ups. Including the most recent one, which is a re-issue of a 2005 essay.
Posted by
john
at
12:38 PM
Labels: Economics, Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Personal Finance for the Homeowner
Monday, April 21, 2008
Six Proven Strategies For Managing Your Wealth Wisely
I don't think there is anything ground-breaking or new here, but this "special report" from the Wealth Management Exchange is the kind of reference that is helpful to read when thinking of your own financial planning or especially when looking for help from a professional. Its general, but comprehensive, and worth a read. If you are not working with a financial planner, or are looking for a new one, contact me for a referral.
Posted by
john
at
8:36 PM
Monday, December 24, 2007
Mortgage Relief Act HR 3648 Update From CMPS

Update # 1 - Mortgage Relief Passed by Congress & Signed Into Law by the President!
On Thursday, December 20th, President Bush signed into law a bill passed by Congress: HR 3648 –Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007. The three major points are:
· Elimination of the “phantom tax” on foreclosures, short sales or other discharges of debt on a primary residence. Consider this scenario: A property is worth $250,000, and the mortgage balance is $300,000. Under the old rules, if a lender forgave the $50k difference as part of a foreclosure, short sale, refinance or loan modification, the borrower had to claim the $50k as income and pay federal income taxes on that amount. The new law eliminates this “phantom tax”, and the forgiven debt is no longer treated as taxable income to the borrower as long as certain requirements are met, such as the discharged mortgage balance must be on the taxpayer’s principal residence.
· The tax deduction for mortgage insurance premiums is now extended until December 31, 2010 instead of expiring at the end of 2007. The same rules apply as before in terms of the income limitations etc.
· The capital gains exclusion is now $500,000 instead of $250,000 for an unmarried individual who sells their primary residence within 2 years of the time their spouse has died. This new guideline applies to sales after December 31, 2007, and provides relief for widows and widowers by giving them a 2 year window from the time their spouse has died to sell their home and receive the $500,000 exclusion. Of course, the same rules apply as before, where the individual(s) need to have lived in the home as their primary residence for 2 out of the last 5 years.
You can read the full version of the bill by visiting the THOMAS Library of Congress web site and searching for HR 3648. Version # 6 (the enrolled / ENR version) is the final version that was passed by both the House and Senate.
Update # 2 - AMT Relief Passed by Congress
After much drama and a few rounds of chicken between the House and Senate, Congress FINALLY passed AMT relief on Wednesday, December 19. The President has indicated a strong willingness to sign this bill into law, and it is currently awaiting his signature. Under this one year patch, approx. 20 million taxpayers have escaped the clutches of the AMT. However, approx. 3.5 million taxpayers are still expected to be subject to the AMT.
If you have questions related to any of these updates, consult with your tax advisor or contact me for more info.
*** Posted with help from CMPS Institute
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Labels: Housing Marketplace, Mortgage Marketplace, Mortgage Planning, Personal Finance for the Homeowner, Taxation
